Using classic Outlook for Windows in business environments
OAuth2 works fine, but is not an option in some clients.
This link in the article is interesting: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/exchange/clients-and-mobile-in-exchange-online/deprecation-of-basic-authentication-exchange-online
It confirms OAuth2 has been mandatory for business users for over a year.
It is very likely then that this requirement has been accidentally leaked on to consumer accounts for a large percentage of connection attempts.